The Effect Of Inflation And Interest Rate On Economic Growth Of Nigeria
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The Effect Of Inflation And Interest Rate On Economic Growth Of Nigeria
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THE EFFECT OF INFLATION AND INTEREST RATE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF NIGERIA

                                                                      

ABSTRACT

The gross Domestic product Growth is a long term rise in the capacity to supply increasingly diverse economic goods o its population. This growing capacity is said to base on advancing technology.

          It is only through an effective economic system that human and material resources of the nation could be mobilized   between the government and the governed. The concept of economy development of Nigeria with its objectives is aimed at standard and mobilization or mobilizing the functions and financial resource is to encourage initiative and leadership potential.

          There is still need for government to creative conducive social and political environment to attract foreign investors in various aspects of the Nigeria economy. To this end of the democratization process will be in progress to encourage the earnest pursue.

          The research major objective is to identify how inflation and interest rate has affected economic growth in Nigeria and suggesting recommending ways of improving Nigeria economy. This problems on GDP was critically examine.

          In handling the research, secondary and primary data where source with the use of questionnaire and oral interview, while secondary data sources are test books.

          The analysis of data was based on percentages. It is on the strength of the finding that recommendation and conclusion was made.

                                                     

TABLE OF CONTENTS

CHAPTER ONE

                    INTRODUCTION

  1. STATEMENT OF PROBLEMS
  2. OBJECTIVE OF STUDY
  3. RESEARCH QUESTION
  4. STATEMENT OFNHYPOTHESIS
  5. SIGNIFICANCE OF STUDY
  6. SCOPE & LIMITATION
  7. DEFINITION OF TERMS
  8. REFERENCE

CHAPTER TWO

  1. LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1     INTEREST RATE MANGEMENT IN NIGERIA

  1. FACTORS INFLUENCE INTEREST RATE
  2. MANAGEMENT PRIOR 2003/ MONETRY DEVELOPMENT
  3. CASE FOR INTEREST CELING
  4. CASE AGAINST INTEREST CELING
  5. INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT
  6. INFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
  7. EFFECT OF INFLATION ON SAVINGS/ GROWTH
  8. INFLATION AND GROWTH IN DEVELOPING NATION

2.2.1 EMPRIRCAL STUDY ON RELATIONSHIP ON INLFATION

AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN LATIN AMERICA OTHER COUNTIRES

  1. EMPHRICIAL EVIDENCE BASED ON SOME AFRICAN COUNTRIES
  2. REFERENCE.

CHAPTER THREE

  1. RESEARCH DESING AND METHODOLOGY

3.1     RESEARCH DESIGN

  1. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
  2. AREA OF STUDY
  3. LOCTION OF DATA
  4. INSTRUMENT OF DATA COLLECTION
  5. METHOD OF DATA PRESENTATION
  6. TECHNIQUES OF DATA ANALYSIS

CHAPTER FOUR

  1. PRESENTATION OF DATA AND ANALYSIS OF RESULT AND INTERPRETATION.

4.1     PRESENTATION OF DATA

  1. ANALYSIS OF RESULT
  2. TOST OF HYPOTHESIS
  3. INTERPRETATION.

CHAPTER FIVE

  1. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS, RECOMMENDATION AND CONCLUSION

5.1     SUMARY OF FINDINGS

  1. RECOMMENDATION
  2. CONCLUSION

BIBLIOGRAPGHY

 

CHAPTER ONE

1.1BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY

 

Every country in the world aim at achieving economic growth and development. This is only possible if a country has adequate sources. In developing countries especially those in sub-saharan Africa. The resources to finance the optimal level of economic growth and development are in short supply.

          Inflation, economic growth and interest rate concepts that are central and interrelated in Macro economic. A proper understanding of these concepts is therefore very necessary in order to get a good grasp of how inflation and interest rate has effected growth in Nigeria over the past eleven years. Is from this view that gives what have been expressed by various people to the theoretical and empirical relationship that has been estimated between them.

          Inflation is said o occur when the general level of prices rises rapidly and persistently over a given period of time. This is undesirable to the public and policy makers. From this of view of the public inflation causes uncertainty about future prices. This effect decisions on expenditure, savings, investment and misallocation of resources. It also allows substantial in distributions of income and wealth from savers to borrowers. To policy makers, inflation hampers economic growth and development as it discourages investment and savings. These factors explain why policy makers put in lots of efforts to reduce inflation and why several authors focus attention on this issue. Inflation is now one of the intractable problems facing the Nigeria economy.

          Having registered low rates of inflation in years immediately after independence. The country experience double digit in 1960. this was as a result of the civil war. The next period of high inflation was (1974- 1979), when the wage freeze was discontinued as recommended by  Udoji salary review commission.

 

Reduction of the high inflationary pressure is considered one of the most critical Macro- economic objectives in Nigeria. A number of approached to the explanation of the phenomenon of inflation have been suggested and tested in the economic literature. Thus such concept of inflation has been suggested in the economic literature. Thus such concept of inflation has been popularized including Demand Pull inflation which occurs when aggregated demand rises faster than aggregated supply another form of inflation is cost push which occurs when price increase, its originated from supply side of economy either through profit push or wages push resulting from trade union action. For structural inflation, it seeks to explain the long term tendency of prices especially in the industrialized western countries.

          There do also exist monetarists. It explains and observes inflation rate in different countries to respective growth rate of money supply. Inflation can be transmitted from one country to another, this is usually referred to as imported inflation and occurs when a country engages in international trade. Inflation has various effect on the economy as a whole of which economic growth and interest rate are of great important. These three variables are interrelated. There are many indicators of economic growth, for the purpose of this research study.

          Finally, the relationship between inflation, interest and economic growth will be fully examined. It should be noted that interest rate are to help in mobilization of financial resources and to the promoting or promotion of economic growth and development. Interest rates effect the level of consumption on the hand, it is one of the major tools of monetary policy. It was regulated and controlled by the central bank of Nigeria.

          The direct and magnitude of changes in market interest rate are of primary importance to economic agents and policy makers. Economic growth is an increase in the average rate of output produced per person, usually measured on per annum basis. Interest rates are the rental payment for the use of credit by borrowers ad return payment with liquidity by lenders.

 

STATEMENT OF PROBLEM

 

The effect of inflation and interest rate on economy growth in Nigeria is quite a serious problem. The country experiences on inflation is no longer the problem but the fact that inflation problem seems to have reached the crisis dimension. Changes in interest rate determines the rate of inflation. The nominal interest rate is a function of the real interest rate and inflationary expectation.

          Since independence, we have been suffering from inflation and interest rate till central bank interned their new system abolished all control on interest rate and allow banks to fix their own interest rate.

OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

 

The broad objectives of the study are mainly.

  1. To critically identify how inflation and inter rate has effected growth in Nigeria economy.
  2. to identify the major de0terminant of inflation in the country since 1972-2004.
  3. To analyze the factors affecting the economy and their implications on the economy
  4. To suggest and recommend ways of imploring Nigeria economy.
  5. To determine inflation and interest rate problem on the level of employment.
  6. To analyze the impact of fluctuation of inflation and interest rate affect on the economy.

 

RESEARCH QUESTIONS

  1. What is the causes if inflation and interest rates problem in the Nigeria economy?
  2. What are the major determinants of inflation in the country since 1992 –2004?.
  3. Hoe do you analyze the factors affecting the economy and their implications?
  4. How can imploring the economy be suggest and recommend/
  5. What is the state of inflation and interest rate problem on the level of employment?
  6. Is the impact of fluctuation of inflation and interest rate affecting the economy?.


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