The Impact Of Exchange Rate Fluctuation On International Trade (Export) In Nigeria
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The Impact Of Exchange Rate Fluctuation On International Trade (Export) In Nigeria
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ABSTRACT

International trade and other economic activities between nationalities have greatly expanded in modern times. Movements of goods and services over great distances have made possible the consumption of such goods and services even in place or countries where they are not produced. The implication being and improve the standard of living for many. However, exporting countries and importing nations trace the enormous problems or exchange rates fluctuations.  In this work an attempt have been made to examine the impact of exchange  rates fluctuations and balance of payment  (export position) in Nigeria. This is study was carried out through the use of a questionnaire, Oral, interviews and secondary data. It was found that there is a positive relationship between foreign exchange earnings and volume of imports in Nigeria that the importers do not think favourable of the structural adjustment programme and some Bank do not pay interest on the delayed export proceeds of FEM deposit account. Based on the findings we  re commend that government should intervene to the foreign regulation of the  sharp fluctuations in the foreign exchange market by improving the real productive sector of the economy. The apex bank should punish severely banks who do not repatriate export proceeds.

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

CHAPTER ONE

1.1INTRODUCTION

1.2STATEMENT OF PROBLEM

1.3OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY

1.4STATEMENT OF HYPOTHESIS

1.5DEFINITION OF TERMS

1.6SIGNIFICANCE OF STUDY

1.7LIMITATION OF STUDY

 

CHAPTER TWO

REVIEW OF RELATED LITERSTURE

2.1INTRODUCTION

2.2THE ECHANGE RATE

2.3EXCHANGE RATE POLICIES

2.4FREELY FLUCTUATING RATE SYSTEM

2.5THE PEGGED EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM

2.6NIGERIA EXCHNAGE RATE SYSTEM

2.7THE PERIOD BETWEEN 1976-1985

2.8ECHANGE MARKET 1986 TO DATE

2.9EASON FOR THE INTRODUCTION OF SFEM

2.10FORIGN EXCHANGE MARKET OPERTIONS

2.11OPERATION OF BUREAVX DE EXCHNAGE IN NIGERIA

2.12FINANCING INTERNATIONAL TRADE METHOD AND MACHINE PAYMENT

2.13ROLE OF BANKS IN INTERNATIONAL TRADE

2.14EXPORT FINANCING

2.15MARKET RESEARCH

2.16CONSULTANCY  SERVICES TO EXPORTER

2.17TRADE AND INFORMATION

2.18EXPORT PROMOTION

2.19ISSUE OF DELAYED INTEREST

2.20INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA

2.21SUMMARY

 

 

CHAPTER THREE

RESEARCH DESIGN & DESIGN METHODOLOGY

3.1.INTRODUCTION

3.2.RESEARCH DEISNG

3.3.SAMPLING PROCEDURE

3.4.QUESTIONNAIRE DESIGN

3.5.DATA COLLECTION

3.6.SOURCES OF DATA

 

CHAPTER FOUR

DATA ANALYSIS & FINDINGS

4.1INTRODUCTION

4.2DATA ANALYSIS

4.3TEST OF HYPOTHESIS

 

CHAPTER FIVE

SUMMARY OF FINDINGS, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS

5.1INTRODUCTION

5.2SUMMARY OF FINDINGS

5.3CONCLUSION

5.4RECOMMENDATION

BIBLIOGRAPHY

APPENDIX QUESTIONNAIRE

 

CHAPTER ONE

1.1INTRODUCTION

The historical development of international trade can be dated as back the period of World War 1 (1914-1918).

Though world trade was heavy during world I, that world depression of the 1930’s greatly brought a decline in world trade.

 The actions of several governments aggravated the from in the level of the world trade.

After world war ii era, the long run trend has been toward a relaxation of trade barriers (Solomon, 1976).

International trade sprang up in both century courtesy of mergers, acquisitions, consolidation and formulation of new companies and various types of securities issued by co-operations from survival of expansion following the development of financial management system, international trade was accelerated (Ndu, 1991).

International financial developments are having an increased  effect on people because all parts of the world are now more closely linked together than ever before. Communications throughout the world take place within a matter of minutes or even  seconds (Weston and Copeland, 1986).

Trade and other economic contracts between countries have expended greatly in modern time, the mass movement of commodities often over great distance has made available many articles, which could nor be enjoyed, hitherto and this has raised standard of living. As a result of international trade rule now have both a greater amount and a greater variety of goods to consume. The growth of international trade has gone hand in hand with technological improvements in productions and with development in transportation. These advances have made possible the large increase in the volume and variety of goods produced and traded factories turn out large quantities of commodities which are not only consumed locally, but are immediately distributed to different parts of the world improvement in transportation and the expansion of world markets have made possible this large and economic production.

 Before the advents of oil exploration in 1958, Nigeria was an exporter of some agricultural product such as palm oil, cocoa, palm kennel, groundnut. Rubber etc the exchange earner for the country was also the greatest employer of labour.the importance of Agriculture can be best appreciated when it is realized that if accounted for greatest proportion of our Gross Domestic product (GDP). In the immediate post independence years, Nigeria had about 72 percent of its total working population engaged in Agricultural sector.

As a matter of tract,  export declined from 75.3 percent in 1960 to 3.6 percent in 1983, while import was from n56.7 million in 1962 to n2.05 billion in 1980 (Nwachukwu 1989).

Export promotion, structural adjustment programme (SAP) as was witnessed under the infamous Babangida regime. The main aim was to revitalize the economic system and get rid of economic propriety for Nigeria in which export revenues will as much from many other sources as from oil whose fluctuations in the world market have come a nightmare for all those who plan the economy. The deviation of the Naira was most instrumental in making prices of export Hughes in terms of Naira because foreign currencies when converted fetched more naira. As a result farmers now earn more for their crops than before and this clearly has been an unprecedented inducement to farmers   to produce more for export. For instance, cocoa accounted for about 50 percent of Nigeria’s non-oil export in 1989). Maintaining a realistic exchange rate for exporters regardless of trade and foreign exchange rate regime is the first requirement for export development and for sound investment planning and for attracting meaningful foreign investment into the country. With the introduction of sound tier foreign exchange  market (SFEM) in 1986, which gave rise to FEM and inter bank foreign exchange market (IFEM). The idea of shopping imported.

Thus,  foreign exchange transactions  are payment mechanism operated by commercial and  merchant banks to for the purposes of exchange domestic money for foreign currency or vice versa (Ebony, 1989).

A foreign exchange market has several functions if others as a mechanism for clearing payment related to international trade or investment on multinational basis provide credits in  different currencies including facilities against lodging exchange and determines  exchange rates between convertible currencies (Abodo, 1989). The foreign exchange rate as well as means by which both exporters and importers can be protected against unexpected fluctuation in exchange rates. This could be seen by the way new companies are seting up factories across the country. Businessmen particularly from the Far East are now coming into the country because the exchange rate has been so attractive to them (Ayobola, 1989).

Reports put together by Nigeria trading partners inclusive of members of the European Economics April 1989 shows that Nigeria wa the recipient of goods valued N36.496 which fell short of her export profile at N724.7m (FEM) (Nwosu, 1989). The official exchange rate which was N1.55$1 just before the inception of SFEM in 1989 was 4.25 to  (1.00 in June, 1989 (Nwachukwu 1989) it went on further  in 1990 and 1991, as at December 30, 1991 it was N9.86 to $1.00. this deteriorated at N112 to $ 1 as at June   22, 2001. the Federal government of Nigeria is convinced that the exchange rate of Naira will not      fixed by executive fact but will continue to be determined by the forces of demand and supply. The demand for foreign exchange exceeds the supply in Nigeria.

Consequently, we pay high price to obtain foreign currencies. To  improve the value of Naira on the external front, we either  increase supply or reduce demand for foreign exchange. But most countries like Nigeria, the monetary authorities, intervene from time to time on the side of either demand and supply so as top limit the range within the rate has to clear the market. When such intervention occurs  it implies that the  exchange rate is not being allowed to move sufficiency  to maintain a continuous balance between normal external payments and receipts  (Ebony, 1987).

The thrusts of the exchange rate policy under the structural Adjustment programme are to discourage imports and   promote agricultural production, encourage local sourcing of raw materials something they had considered impossible before the introduction of structural adjustment programme. One cannot tail to  notice that importation has decreased, exports other than crude oil has increase over the months.

Problems crisis in this international transactions because of the  inefficiency in our financial system, which introduce “lag” between the time the importer and the time of the fund are actually remitted to the exporter. The remittance lag as we call it, introduces exchange rates risk into the transaction. For example the rate prevailing at the time of payment by imports may differ from the rate of which the commercial banks will use in remitting the funds. These exchange rate differential  results in either exchange rate  loss or gain on the part of the importers.

 

 

1.7       STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEMS

The foreign suggestion that the exchange rate risk as it affects the importer as well as exporter is one that is enough to hinder development in the country, thereby detecting the laudable objective of the government.

The remittance lag problem has far reaching economic implications for the society at large especially because importers already has the business risk to worry about in international trade transaction. The question that this paper addresses is who bears the burden of delayed interest on transaction money caused by “remittance “lag” lasting for as long as four months?

 

1.3.      OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY

The objectives of this research work  as follows:

i.          To seek and determine as far as possible methods by which this risk associated with exchange fluctuations can be minimized.

ii.         To determined who should equitably bear the burden of the delayed interest the commercial banks, the central bank or  the importer.

iii.        To discover whether government importers are given preferential  treatment as regard  the remittance of funds.

iv.        To ascertain whether it’s widely believe that the FEM policy has not achieve a  realistic exchange rate for the Naira.

v.         To ascertain whether the introduction of structural  adjustment programme by the government through foreign exchange  market (FEM) is reducing the problems created by the dual nature of international trade and .

vi.Based on the findings to make appropriate recommendations.

 

1.4.     STATEMENT OF HYPOTHESIS

This work will test the following hypothesis which shall form the core of this study.

1.        Hi:       There is a significant  relationship between  foreign earning and value of export in Nigeria.

Ho:     There is a significant  relationship between  foreign earning and value of export in Nigeria.

2.        Hi:       Nigerian banks have been paying interest accruing on deposit exporters for letter s of credit.

 


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